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Wall Street Sold Red Rock Resorts After a Third-Quarter Loss. Stifel Says the Sell-Off Makes No Sense and Holds a $70 Target.

The short versionRed Rock Resorts, the Las Vegas locals casino operator behind Station Casinos and Durango, reported a third-quarter 2026 loss of 17 cents a share on revenue of $488.7 million, and its shares fell 5.2% in late trading, according to Casino.org on November 4. Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski kept a buy rating and a $70 price target, more than 44% above the current price.
Neon sign of a slot machine beside a dipping stock chart

Red Rock Resorts missed on profit, according to Casino.org. The Sunset Station operator posted a third-quarter loss of 17 cents a share on revenue of $488.7 million, while analysts had expected a profit of 44 cents a share on sales of $478 million. Shares were off 5.2% in late trading.

Spending may be what spooked investors. Truist Securities analyst Barry Jonas wrote that the budget for Durango North in southwest Las Vegas rose to $430 million from $385 million on expanded scope, with opening targeted for the third quarter of 2027. The expansion adds about 275,000 square feet and nearly 400 slots, and the company's 2026 capital spending is now up to $550 million to $575 million, Casino.org reported. Jonas wrote that management is also studying a roughly 400-room hotel expansion at Durango and expects to announce its next major project, possibly Cactus or Inspirada, relatively soon.

Stifel is not worried. "The recent sell-off in RRR shares really doesn't make much sense to us," Wieczynski wrote, adding that "operators that are aggressively investing in their underlying assets are being rewarded with market share gains." Jonas also noted that 60% of customers in Red Rock's tavern business were not previously members of its loyalty program.

The desk's takeInvestors want the locals casino to print money and also to stop spending it, which is a lot to ask of a company whose whole strategy is building nicer places for locals to lose money near their homes. Durango is the best-performing bet Red Rock has made in years, and adding $45 million to the next phase is the kind of overrun the Strip would call a rounding error. The tavern stat is the sleeper: six in ten of those bar-top video poker players were strangers to the loyalty program, which means the neighborhood bar is now the casino's best salesman.

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