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DraftKings Says Nothing Catches It Off Guard. The Bears Went From +1400 to +750 Anyway.

The short versionDraftKings has the Chicago Bears at +750 to win the Super Bowl, behind only the San Francisco 49ers at +550 and the Buffalo Bills at +600, according to a Casino.org Vegas Betting Report published November 4, 2026. DraftKings director of sports operations Johnny Avello said the book took "quite a bit of money" on the 6-2 Bears after their 34-17 Monday night win over the defending champion Seattle Seahawks.
Neon sign of a football and a rising arrow on a betting board

The Bears are the story of the NFL's midseason futures board, according to Casino.org. Chicago is 6-2 after beating the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks 34-17 on Monday night, and DraftKings now lists the Bears at +750 to win the title, behind only San Francisco at +550 and Buffalo at +600. Avello told Casino.org the Bears moved from +1400 to +1200 after the October 29 trade that brought All-Pro defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons from the Tennessee Titans for two first-round picks and a fourth-rounder.

"We took quite a bit of money on the Bears to win the Super Bowl over the past week or so, mostly over the last couple days because of their showing," Avello said. He also insisted the book is rarely surprised for long. "I don't think anything catches us off guard. They might for a week or so, but we catch up real fast because we're constantly monitoring all teams and changing teams' power ratings when needed," he said.

Elsewhere on the board, Casino.org called the 0-7 Los Angeles Chargers a disaster, noted the New York Giants lead the NFC East at 4-2-1, and said the Las Vegas Raiders have exceeded expectations, with veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins helping to develop rookie Fernando Mendoza. Avello said parity is the theme of the season: "There's just a lot of parity in the league now. You can tell by any given week somebody can bite somebody."

The desk's takeNothing catches the sportsbook off guard, it just needs a week or so to stop being caught off guard, which is a lovely way to describe being caught off guard. The house still wins, because the price moves after the money comes in, and Chicago fans are the most reliable money in America. Meanwhile the Raiders exceeding expectations is the most Vegas sentence of the season: the bar was set low enough to step over.

Sources

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